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StatCrunch:Opinion Poll
Archive: September 2007
Poll Results
About Half in CBS Poll Say Bush's Proposed Troop Reduction Not Enough
09/18/2007 4:33 PM ET
Despite a week of intensive coverage over the Iraq debate, American public opinion remains fairly unmoved in their determination about what should happen next in Iraq.

A clear majority of Americans continue to want a withdrawal of US troops, and about half say that President Bush's proposed draw down does not go far enough to reduce their numbers, according to a new CBS news poll.

About 50% of respondents say they want large number out of Iraq within the next year, while an additional 23% say they can wait until the following year to see a reduced American presence, numbers that did not change when compared to polling done the week before the Bush-Petraeus-Crocker presentations.

Petraeus's report on the progress of the surge did little to convince the public, with only about one in three reporting that the influx of troops has made any improvements to the situation.

Perhaps the Administration's credibility played a part in the lack of impact last week's debate had on public opinion, as 65% believe the President tries to make things in Iraq sound better than they are.

Overall, the American public expresses some pretty dim views about the status and future hopes of Iraq. More than 50% believe it is not very likely that the US will succeed in Iraq, and 63% report things are going badly for the Americans. Over 50% believe the US should not have embarked on the war in the first place, and the population is roughly split on whether or not the US now has a responsibility to help Iraq restore stability.

Some of the view of US responsibility could result from the perception that the Iraqi government is not pulling its own weight, with 69% of Americans reporting Baghdad is not doing all it can to make progress.

The pessimism about the capabilities of the Iraqi government likely contributed to the view, held by a majority of Americans, that Iraq will never become a stable democracy.

Read the full CBS polling report here. sep07cbsIraq.pdf

Poll Results
New Fox Opinion Poll Shows Majority of Americans Ready for Withdrawal to Begin
09/13/2007 7:00 PM ET
While a majority of Americans disapprove of the job performances of George Bush and Congress, their approval ratings have indicated the slightest shift upwards, according to the latest FOX News poll.

Thirty-seven percent of Americans say they approve of the job Bush is doing, up from 33 percent last month. Thirty-two percent of those polled said Congress is doing a good job, up from 24 percent in August.

Still, dissatisfaction continues to run high, with 58 percent of respondents saying Bush was doing a poor job, and 56 percent disapproving of Congress's performance.

More than a third of Americans (35 percent) think Petraeus's report to Congress was "truthful and objective" and 40 percent think it "slanted toward the administration." Twenty-five percent had no opinion on the Petraeus report.

The poll found that 49 percent of Americans agree with Petraeus that some progress is being made under the surge (17 percent "major" improvements and 32 percent "minor"), while 45 percent say the the additional troops have not made much of a difference.

A majority of Americans are ready for the US to start withdrawing troops from Iraq. Twenty-two percent said the US should pull out all troops immediately, up 10 percentage points since January, and 42 percent say the troops should be withdrawn gradually over the next year.

Only twenty-four percent think the troops should stay until Iraqi troops are capable of taking over, down ten percentage points since January.

Opinion Dynamics Corp. conducted the national telephone poll of 900 registered voters for FOX News from Sept. 11 to Sept. 12. The poll has a 3-point error margin.

Fox News Poll results 091307_release_web.pdf

Poll Results
New AP/Ipsos Poll Shows Public Deeply Pessimistic About History's Judgment
09/11/2007 7:08 PM ET
A majority of Americans view the Iraq war as a failure, and do not believe the surge in troops has helped stabilize the country, according to a new AP/Ipsos poll released Tuesday.

Twenty-eight percent of those polled said they believed history would judge the Iraqi war a complete failure, 31% said it was more failure than success, with 27% saying the reverse. Only 7% believed the war would be remembered as a complete success. According to AP, those calling it a failure included eight in 10 Democrats, three in 10 Republicans and about six in 10 independents.

The surge was rated a flop by 58%, compared to the 36% that thinks it has helped stabilize the country, with three in 10 Republicans joining majorities of Democrats and independents in seeing failure.

Those number only shifted slightly from the responses AP/Ipsos gathered immediately after President Bush announced it in January, when the polling asked if the troop increase would help stabilize Iraq.

People who consider the decision to go to war a mistake outnumbered those calling it the correct by 57% to 37%, numbers that have remained constant for more than a year. About a quarter of Republicans, along with most Democrats and independents, labeled the war an error.

The poll was conducted Sept. 6-9 and involved telephone interviews with 1,000 adults. It had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

Top line results AP_Ipsos9_11_2007.pdf

Full Report PDF
Majority of Iraqis Oppose US Mil Presence, Maliki; Okay w/Attacks on US Forces
By EASON JORDAN 09/10/2007 5:43 PM ET

Here's a distressing must-read: the results of a wide-ranging poll of Iraqis.

Each and every page of the 32 pages of poll results is compelling and enlightening.

In short, most Iraqis are fed up, oppose the presence of US-led military forces, think their prime minister is awful, and believe attacks on US forces are acceptable.

Perhaps more worrying, the trend lines when compared to previous poll results.

Read it.

Click here for the 32-page PDF of the poll results: 10_09_07_iraqpoll.pdf

Link To Report
Doubts About Bush, Iraqi Govt Remain High; Iraq Biggest Issue in Pres Campaign
09/09/2007 6:13 PM ET
Will Petraeus's report honestly reflect the situation in Iraq or will the report make things look better than they really are?Honestly reflect situationBetter than reality
Would Bush change Iraq policy if Petraeus recommended it?YesNo
Have confidence in Iraqi govt to meet commitments?YesNo
Most important issue in US presidential campaign?IraqHealth Care
Washington Post-ABC News poll of 1,002 Americans conducted Sept. 4-7

Here are the full poll results.

Full Report PDF
Majority Believe US Should Leave Iraq Within a Year
09/07/2007 12:09 PM ET

A majority of citizens across the world (67%) think US-led forces should leave Iraq within a year, according to a BBC World Service poll of 23,000 people across 22 countries. Just one in four (23%) think foreign troops should remain in Iraq until security improves.

However, half of those polled (49%) believe the United States plans to keep permanent military bases in Iraq. Another 36 percent believe the US will withdraw all forces once Iraq is stabilized.

Three in five Americans (61%) think US forces should get out of Iraq within a year, including 24 percent who favor immediate withdrawal and 37 percent who prefer a one year timetable. Another 32 percent of Americans say the forces should stay until security improves.

Other members of the US-led coalition also have majorities wanting forces out within a year: 65 percent of Britons, 63 percent of South Koreans and 63 percent of Australians.

Three countries – Kenya, the Philippines and India – do not have majorities favoring withdrawal within a year, but in no case does a majority favor remaining until security improves. In Kenya and the Philippines 45 percent and 44 percent respectively, favor remaining and in India just 17 percent favor this option.

The survey was conducted for the BBC World Service by the international polling firm GlobeScan together with the Program on International Policy Attitudes (PIPA) at the University of Maryland. GlobeScan coordinated fieldwork between May 29 and July 26, 2007.

GlobeScan President Doug Miller said, “The weight of global public opinion, and indeed American opinion, is opposed to the Bush Administration’s current policy of letting security conditions in Iraq dictate the timing of US troop withdrawal.”

Steven Kull, director of PIPA, pointed out, "While majorities in 19 of 22 countries polled want the US to be out of Iraq within a year, in no country does a majority think it will do so."

Kull added, “It seems the US is widely viewed as planning to make Iraq part of its long term military footprint in the Middle East.”

Full polling report BBCIraq_Sep07_rpt.pdf


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